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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8thbest in in the league while at home with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing squads have attempted 21.2 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Trey Lyles should see a rise in productivity in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trey Lyles has made 29.9% of his shot attempts from the field while at home this year, ranking in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.

Out of all players in the NBA, Trey Lyles places in the 15th percentile for 3-point prowess with a an unimpressive 23.2% rate this year.

Trey Lyles has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.1 technicals per game last year.

The Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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