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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles Points
Player Prop - 4/20/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Lyles has made 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • This matchup is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Warriors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the league against them this year (45.1%).
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games while on the road.
  • The Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Trey Lyles has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 25.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the league).
  • Trey Lyles will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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