Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has averaged 23.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 6.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Kings.
Trey Lyles has successfully made 93.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 14.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.
Trey Lyles will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has made 31.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, -12.0% lower than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Trey Lyles has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 0.1 more than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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