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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Lyles has scored 10.4 points per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 3.9 higher than he's scored overall this season on the road.
  • Trey Lyles has converted 47.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 16.4% more than he's made from three over the course of the year away from home.
  • The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • This matchup is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Trail Blazers are playing at home, opposing teams have averaged the 6th-least three attempts per game in the league against them this year (31.8).
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Trey Lyles has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
  • The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • On their home court, the Trail Blazers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 26.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-most in the league).

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