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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Lyles has successfully made 40.0% of his three-pointers at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Trey Lyles has averaged 26.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
  • The Bucks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Kings.
  • The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Trey Lyles has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.
  • This matchup is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (40.5).
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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