Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has made 40.0% of his three-pointers playing at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Trey Lyles has tallied 26.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Clippers is a challenging one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have totaled the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games (31.7).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.
Trey Lyles has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while at home.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court, which should reduce plays for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Clippers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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