Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has scored 14.6 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.0 more than he's scored over the course of the year on the road.
Trey Lyles has averaged 26.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Kings.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Thunder have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a colossal 23.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).
Trey Lyles will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduces player production for all stats.

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