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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles Assists
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Trey Lyles Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 9thbest in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Trey Lyles will likely see an increase in efficiency across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trey Lyles has averaged 0.9 assists per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile -- one of the worst in the league in this category.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

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