Trayce Jackson-Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Trayce Jackson-Davis

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 1:39 AM UTC

Analysis

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Trayce Jackson-Davis measures in the 94th percentile for scoring performance at home with a phenomenal 66.2% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Trayce Jackson-Davis rates in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a measly 1.3 fouls per game this year.
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Warriors will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Hawks).
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Trayce Jackson-Davis has made 0.0% of his three-pointers since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. Clint Capela is a hard one for shots from the field; when Capela is on the road and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a measly 3.6 buckets per game (4th percentile).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line at home: 5th-worst in the league this year, drawing a mere 20.0 foul shot attempts per game.
The faceoff with Clint Capela when it comes to drawing fouls places in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 1.7 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court.