Trayce Jackson-Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Trayce Jackson-Davis

NBA · Player Props

Trayce Jackson-Davis

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 11:08 PM UTC

Analysis

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trayce Jackson-Davis has made 85.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 21.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the league on the road with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies (losing possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Trayce Jackson-Davis comes in at the 6th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while on the road, tallying 0.0 per game this year.
The Warriors have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Memphis Grizzlies are playing at home, their opposition has totaled the most 3-point shots per game in the league against them this year (14.5).
The Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Grizzlies).

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