Trae Young Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2024

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Trae Young

NBA · Player Props

Trae Young

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 22, 2024

Updated Nov 23, 2024 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-166/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -166.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 35.9 minutes per game this year.
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely see an increase in plays today from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Bulls).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the league, Trae Young places in the 98th percentile for free throws drained, registering a monstrous 5.9 per game this year.

Favors Under

Trae Young has made a mere 35.8% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly lower than his 43.0 mark last season.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 10th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have notched 13.7 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Chicago Bulls, making this a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The matchup against Chicago is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game this year when the Chicago Bulls are playing at home (least in the NBA).
Trae Young ought to see a decline in output for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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