Trae Young Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Trae Young

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trae Young has successfully made a terrific 3.3 three-pointers per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.2 mark last season.
Trae Young has tallied 36.6 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out best in the NBA away from their home court with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Hawks's subpar 45.2% field goal rate away from their home court measures as the 4th-lowest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for field goals; the other team's starting PGs have posted the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (39.8%).
In contrast to last season's 7.6 mark, Trae Young's foul shots scored have decreased this season to 6.6 per game.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).
Trae Young will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.