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Trae Young

Trae Young Points
Player Prop - 11/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trae Young has averaged 35.1 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should increase plays for the Hawks.

The Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 8.3 clip, Trae Young's field goals made have declined this year to 6.6 per game.

Trae Young has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road.

When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league since the start of last season has been the Hawks.

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have shot 21.7% on threes (13th-worst in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a hard matchup.

The matchup against Miami is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year when the Miami Heat are at home (8th-least in the NBA).

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