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Trae Young

Trae Young Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trae Young has scored 27.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.

Trae Young has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league at home this year.

Trae Young has successfully made 8.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 more than he's put through the net in all games this season playing at home.

Trae Young will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally raises stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trae Young has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have put up the 13th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (40.5%).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Celtics have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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