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Torrey Craig

Torrey Craig Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Torrey Craig Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Torrey Craig has converted 51.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 12.6% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.

This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, opposing teams have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (32.4%).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Torrey Craig has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 24.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Torrey Craig has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Suns.

The Nuggets have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been poor at getting to the foul line on the road: 5th-worst in the league this year, drawing just 21.2 foul shot attempts per game.

This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a colossal 24.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (9th-most in the league).

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