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Torrey Craig

Torrey Craig Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Torrey Craig Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Torrey Craig has converted 37.3% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Torrey Craig has converted 87.5% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 12.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year playing at home.
  • The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • While on the road, the Heat have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Torrey Craig will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases stat production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Torrey Craig has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA at home this year.
  • The Suns have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
  • As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at drawing fouls on their home court: 9th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 23.4 free throw attempts per game.
  • The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 9th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (30.8%).

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