Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 8:12 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has posted 5.9 defensive boards per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
Tobias Harris has played 36.2 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
This year, opposing teams have snagged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris stands to see a decline in output in all facets of the game in light of playing away from hom in this game.

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