Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has posted 4.9 defensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 86th percentile.
Tobias Harris has played 33.4 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing squads have brought down 9.4 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense).
Tobias Harris will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The 76ers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while on the road since the start of last season.
The 76ers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers rank 4thworst in in the league while playing at home with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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