Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 9, 2023

Updated May 10, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has averaged 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Tobias Harris has played 32.1 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
While at home, the Celtics have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production across the board.

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