Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has tallied 5.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric in recent games.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Timberwolves have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the 76ers.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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