Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 28, 2024 5:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup vs. New York is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the New York Knicks are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (47.7%).
The 76ers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris has sunk an impressive 2.5 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.5 mark last season.
The matchup against the Knicks may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has attempted and missed 6.9 shot attempts from the field per game this year, a significant increase from his 5.7 rate last year.
In regard to treys, the Philadelphia 76ers's subpar 12.1 sunk threes per game rates 9th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Knicks).

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