Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has attempted 16.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Tobias Harris has tallied 33.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have totaled 6.5 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a good matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers grade out 10thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Relative to last year's 1.5 clip, Tobias Harris's foul shots sunk have surged this year to 2.8 per game.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 76ers will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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