Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 5.8 rate, Tobias Harris's shots drained have jumped this year to 7.3 per game.
Among all players in the league, Tobias Harris slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 35.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Lakers are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.9).
The 6th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 6 games has been the 76ers.
The Lakers have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should raise opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.

Favors Under

The 76ers have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
When playing away from home, the Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.1 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Lakers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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