Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has successfully made a whopping 7.6 baskets per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.8 mark last year.
Tobias Harris has played 36.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris ranks in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, logging a measly 1.0 fouls per game on the road this year.
In regard to scoring, the Philadelphia 76ers's impressive 120.4 points per game while playing on the road ranks 5th-most in the league this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 15.8 shot attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The 5th-slowest tempo team in the league this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The 76ers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Minnesota may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-least in the league).
Tobias Harris will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.