Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 7, 2023

Updated May 8, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has successfully made 6.0 shots made from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.
Tobias Harris has played 32.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.5%).
Tobias Harris has sunk 87.7% of his free throws while playing at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).