Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 8:56 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has tallied 4.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 34.2 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The 10th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).
While playing at home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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