Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 3, 2023

Updated May 4, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has played 32.1 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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