T.J. McConnell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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T.J. McConnell

NBA · Player Props

T.J. McConnell

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

T.J. McConnell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
T.J. McConnell has sunk 93.8% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 19.5% more than he's made in all games this year.
The matchup against the Spurs is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted just 20.9 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

Favors Under

T.J. McConnell has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
T.J. McConnell will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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