T.J. McConnell Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

T.J. McConnell

G · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 5:34 PM EST

Analysis

T.J. McConnell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

T.J. McConnell has totaled 4.8 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 91st percentile.
Out of all players in the league, T.J. McConnell places in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a measly 1.0 fouls per game this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games as the road team.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which should decrease possessions for the Pacers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
T.J. McConnell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production for all stats.