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Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+185/-305).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.3 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 7.8 rate last year.

Tim Hardaway Jr. has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (19th percentile).

The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Spurs).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 10thbest in in the league with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Away from their home court, the Spurs have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's lackluster 43.7% field goal percentage places 2nd-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup against San Antonio is a challenging one; when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (8.6).

The 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 9 games has been the Mavericks.

The matchup against Devin Vassell is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding other starting SFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.7 free throws per game (21st percentile).

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