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Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 12.0 shots per game this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Tim Hardaway Jr. has made 3.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 more than he's made in all games this season.

Tim Hardaway Jr. has played 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 80th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Hawks are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 27th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.8).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Saddiq Bey is a tough one for three-point shots; when Bey is at home and facing fellow starting SFs this year, they have finished with a measly 1.2 treys per game (3rd percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the league away from their home court this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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