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Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made 44.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 8.5% higher than he's made overall this year.

Tim Hardaway Jr. has played 29.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 79th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a favorable one; when the 76ers have the home court advantage, they have given up the 21st-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 5 games (16.6).

The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.

The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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