Tim Hardaway Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.4 3-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 7.8 mark last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. measures in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying only 1.1 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Suns are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 21st-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.9).
The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.
This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Suns (maintaining possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
Tim Hardaway Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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