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Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Assists
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Tim Hardaway Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tim Hardaway Jr. has posted 2.6 assists per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's posted over the course of the year on the road.

Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 29.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 79th percentile.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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