Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to offense, the Miami Heat's exceptional 115.3 points per game when playing at home ranks 8th-highest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest tempo away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).
This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Over the last 25 games, opposing starting SGs have compiled 15.6 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive output.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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