Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
Terry Rozier has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.7% more than he's converted overall this season.
Over the last 17 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has converted a lowly 1.5 threes per game this season, significantly less than his 2.4 rate last season.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for field goals; when the Los Angeles Lakers are at home, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (37.1%).
The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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