Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

LA Clippers vs Miami Heat · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 29.0 minutes per game this year.
The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).
Terry Rozier has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Clippers, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 2.4 rate, Terry Rozier's three-point shots sunk have diminished this year to 1.6 per game.
The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 5th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.6).
The 4th-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Terry Rozier will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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