Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 11:22 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.
Terry Rozier has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.4% more than he's put through the net overall this season.
The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.3 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the league).
Terry Rozier will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has attempted a mere 16.6 shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 18.9 rate last year.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.8).
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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