Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 8.1 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Terry Rozier has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a good one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs since the start of last season (19.7).
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (91st percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Hornets.
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been bad at drawing fouls in recent days: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games at home, totaling a measly 17.4 foul shots per game.

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