Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 8.1 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Terry Rozier has averaged 33.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Heat is a good one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (17.5).
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (91st percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Hornets.
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home, totaling a measly 17.4 free throw attempts per game.

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