Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Talen Horton-Tucker

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team has averaged 29.5% on 3-pointers (worst in the league) against the Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Jazz have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 18 games away from home.
The Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker has converted an impressive 91.7% of his free throws this season, a sizeable increase from his 75.1 rate last season.
This matchup is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted a measly 21.0 free throws per game when the Minnesota Timberwolves are at home this year (8th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 44.3% rate, Talen Horton-Tucker's shooting performance has declined this year to 32.1%.
When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's subpar 106.0 points per game when playing at home measures as the worst in the NBA this year.
Away from their home court, the Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance for all stats.

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