Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Talen Horton-Tucker

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 2.5 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, branding this as a positive matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
The Utah Jazz have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker is expected to see a rise in productivity across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Talen Horton-Tucker slots into the 20th percentile for shooting proficiency when playing at home with a a poor 39.9% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Talen Horton-Tucker slots into the 18th percentile for 3-point ability with a a subpar 25.4% rate since the start of last season.
As it relates to shooting, the Jazz's feeble 47.0% field goal rate while at home ranks 6th-weakest in the league since the start of last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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