Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 4:31 PM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Talen Horton-Tucker has averaged 15.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Kings are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 26th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.3).
The Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker has converted 88.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 14.6% more than he's made in all games this year.

Favors Under

Talen Horton-Tucker has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Kings may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (10th-least in the NBA).