Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2026

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 5, 2026

Updated Feb 6, 2026 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-124/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, creating a good matchup.
The 7th-fastest pace away team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.
The Spurs will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to shots from downtown, the San Antonio Spurs's subpar 31.3% rate of sunk threes rates fewest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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