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Stephon Castle

Stephon Castle Points
Player Prop - 12/15/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.6).
  • The 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
  • The San Antonio Spurs check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Stephon Castle has attempted 3.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
  • Stephon Castle is expected to see a rise in performance across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Stephon Castle registers in the 79th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for bricked shots, registering a whopping 6.6 per game this year.
  • Stephon Castle has sunk 26.3% of his 3-point attempts while playing at home this year, ranking in the 25th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • In regard to field goal attempts, the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league as the home team this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Spurs.
  • The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the league).

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