Stephen Curry Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:16 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has posted 5.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's posted over the course of the season.
Stephen Curry has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should boost plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.4 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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