Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 15, 2024

Updated Nov 16, 2024 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has totaled 23.9 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 95th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.1 minutes per game this year.
The 7th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has sunk a measly 4.0 3-pointers per game this season, significantly less than his 4.8 rate last season.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have scored 17.0 points per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.
In regard to drawing fouls, the Warriors's poor 18.8 foul shots per game on their home court ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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