Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 24, 2024

Updated Mar 25, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry lands in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, tallying 12.1 per game this year.
Stephen Curry has tallied 32.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 16.6 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Timberwolves, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out best in in the league with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 10.2 rate, Stephen Curry's shots converted have fallen this year to 8.8 per game.
When it comes to offense, the Warriors's feeble 45.3% field goal percentage as the away team measures as the 7th-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Mike Conley has been remarkably low (4.9 per game) when on his home court and guarding other starting PGs this year (7th percentile).
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).
Stephen Curry will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production in all stat categories.