Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 4:55 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has played 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 88th percentile.
The Warriors will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last season's 4.4 clip, Stephen Curry's foul shots made have increased this season to 5.3 per game.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has converted just 8.5 baskets per game this season, significantly less than his 10.2 rate last season.
Stephen Curry has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this year on the road.
In regard to scoring, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 46.6% field goal rate settles in as the 9th-fewest in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged 1.1 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, making this a hard matchup.
The Utah Jazz have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).