Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has posted 27.3 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry places in the 100th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, compiling 11.6 per game this year.
Stephen Curry has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 17 games while playing at home.
The Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's committed overall this season.
With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.2% field goal rate as the home team comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.9 three attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, resulting in a tough matchup.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Magic, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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